Projection Models Not as High on Tannehill as Scouts

By Chris Malumphy

CBSSports.com has an interesting article on how some mathematical models view Ryan Tannehill as highly over-rated based on his college stats and lack of experience as a starter. One service ranks him only ninth in quarterback passing projections, a far cry from someone who is being tauted as a player who could be taken in the top ten picks, and possibly as early as number four. To go in the top ten, and yet be the third best quarterback in the draft, Tannehill would need to match the skills of a Ben Roethlisberger, who was drafted after Eli Manning and Philip Rivers, to be worth the price, or the gamble. Yet the systems rank him behind not only Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III, but also Brandon Weeden, Kirk Cousins, Russell Wilson, Kellen Moore, Nick Foles and Case Keenum. My personal view is that the mathematical models rate Tannehill too low, because of his relative inexperience, and the fact that he may need a little more development than some. But it is also likely that the scouts are a bit too exuberant. While some caution needs to be taken, I think Tannehill will make some team very happy two or three years down the road. I just don't think he is going to pull a Roethlisberger and get you to the playoffs, let alone the Super Bowl, in year one. Check out the article on CBSSports.com. It's a good one.