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Quarterback Rating Great Predictor of Playoff Bound Teams

By Chris Malumphy

The much maligned quarterback rating system proved to be a great indicator of which teams would be in the playoffs in 2012. The top 8 ranked quarterbacks all are playoff bound. Eleven of the top 15 are still in the Super Bowl hunt. Only two playoff-bound starting quarterbacks (Christian Ponder and Andrew Luck) finished outside the top 15.

If regular season QB rating prevails in the playoffs, we'll be watching Aaron Rodgers beat Peyton Manning in the Super Bowl. Of course, Robert Griffin, Russell Wilson, Matt Ryan, Colin Kaepernick/Alex Smith, Matt Schaub and Tom Brady will each have their say in the matter. Even Joe Flacco, Andy Dalton, Christian Ponder and Andrew Luck will try to unseat those who will be more heavily favored.

Just three quarterbacks with a QB rating of 90 or more failed to reach the playoffs: Ben Roethlisberger, Drew Brees and Tony Romo. Only two more with rating of at least 87 failed to make it: Philip Rivers and Eli Manning. Those are all some damn good quarterbacks. The table below shows how much many teams must improve at the quarterback position before they can become playoff and Super Bowl contenders.

2012 Starting Quarterbacks
(Minimum 200 Attempts; Playoff QBs in Red)
Team Name Att C Pct Avg TD Int Sack Sack
Pct
Rating Rush Yds Avg TD Draft Team Rnd Plyr College
PackersAaron Rodgers55237167.27.8398518.5108.0542594.822005Packers124California
BroncosPeyton Manning58340068.68.03711213.5105.82360.301998Colts11Tennessee
49ersAlex Smith21815370.28.0135249.9104.1311324.30200549ers11Utah
RedskinsRobert Griffin III39325865.68.1205307.1102.41208156.872012Redskins12Baylor
SeahawksRussell Wilson39325264.17.92610337.7100.0944895.242012Seahawks375Wisconsin
FalconsMatt Ryan61542268.67.73214284.499.1341414.112008Falcons13Boston College
PatriotsTom Brady63740163.07.6348274.198.723321.442000Patriots6199Michigan
49ersColin Kaepernick21813662.48.3103166.898.3634156.65201149ers236Nevada
SteelersBen Roethlisberger44928463.37.3268306.397.026923.502004Steelers111Miami (OH)
SaintsDrew Brees67042263.07.74319263.796.31550.312001Chargers232Purdue
TexansMatt Schaub54435064.37.42212274.790.721-9-0.402004Falcons390Virginia
CowboysTony Romo64842565.67.62819365.390.530491.61     00Eastern Illinois
ChargersPhilip Rivers52733864.16.82615498.588.627401.502004Giants14North Carolina State
RavensJoe Flacco53131759.77.22210356.287.732220.732008Ravens118Delaware
BengalsAndy Dalton52832962.36.92716468.087.4471202.642011Bengals235Texas Christian
GiantsEli Manning53632159.97.42615193.487.220301.502004Chargers11Mississippi
PanthersCam Newton48528057.78.01912366.986.21277415.882011Panthers11Auburn
RaidersCarson Palmer56534561.17.12214264.485.318362.012003Bengals11USC
BillsRyan Fitzpatrick50530660.66.72416305.683.3481974.112005Rams7250Harvard
RamsSam Bradford55132859.56.72113356.082.6371273.412010Rams11Oklahoma
BuccaneersJosh Freeman55830654.87.32717264.581.6391393.602009Buccaneers117Kansas State
BearsJay Cutler43425558.87.01914388.181.3412335.702006Broncos111Vanderbilt
VikingsChristian Ponder48330062.16.11812326.281.2602534.222011Vikings112Florida State
TitansMatt Hasselbeck22113862.46.275146.081.013382.901998Packers6187Boston College
LionsMatthew Stafford72743559.86.82017293.879.8351263.642009Lions11Georgia
EaglesNick Foles26516160.86.465207.079.111423.812012Eagles388Arizona
EaglesMichael Vick35120458.16.71210287.478.1623325.412001Falcons11Virginia Tech
JaguarsBlaine Gabbert27816258.36.096227.377.418563.102011Jaguars110Missouri
ColtsAndrew Luck62733954.17.02318416.176.5622554.152012Colts11Stanford
DolphinsRyan Tannehill48428258.36.81213356.776.1492114.322012Dolphins18Texas A&M
TitansJake Locker31417756.46.91011257.474.0412917.112011Titans18Washington
BrownsBrandon Weeden51729757.46.51417285.172.6271114.102012Browns122Oklahoma State
JaguarsChad Henne30816653.96.81111288.372.219643.412008Dolphins257Michigan
JetsMark Sanchez45324654.36.41318347.066.922281.302009Jets15USC
ChiefsMatt Cassel27716158.16.5612196.466.7271455.412005Patriots7230USC
CardinalsJohn Skelton20110954.25.629156.955.4451.302010Cardinals5155Fordham

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