Become a Bajillionaire Picking NFL Winners Using Quarterback Rating Stats
By Chris Malumphy
If you could predict which quarterback was going to have the best QB Rating in a particular game you could quickly become a millionaire. Oh heck, a million isn't what it used to be, you could easily become a bajillionaire. Here's why and how.
The quarterback with the better quarterback ranking in a game has won an outstanding 83% (40-8) of the time thus far in 2016. While the quarterback rating statistic has been much maligned in terms of ranking which passers are best, it does in a very general but remarkably precise way get to the essence of the modern game of football.
Quarterbacks with a game QB rating of 100.0 or better (minimum of 15 attempts for the purposes of this article), have a record of 26-7 (.788). Not too shabby. But it is even more impressive when you learn that of those 7 losses, six where to teams where the quarterback had an even higher rating, and the one exception was a one point loss in which the Saints led by Drew Brees (131.3) lost to the Raiders and Derek Carr (98.5) with the outcome of the game decided by Coach Jack Del Rio's gutsy decision to go for a two-point conversion rather than play for overtime. Thus, in games in which one team has a quarterback that reaches a 100.0+ rating and the other team does not, the likelihood of a win has been over 95% (20-1) in 2016.
| Losers with 100.0+ QB Ratings | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week | Loser | Name | QB Rating | Score | Winner | Name | QB Rating |
| 1 | Falcons | Matt Ryan | 112.6 | L 24 - 31 | Buccaneers | Jameis Winston | 125.1 |
| 1 | Saints | Drew Brees | 131.3 | L 34 - 35 | Raiders | Derek Carr | 98.5 |
| 1 | Colts | Andrew Luck | 119.5 | L 35 - 39 | Lions | Matthew Stafford | 128.6 |
| 1 | Cardinals | Carson Palmer | 104.7 | L 21 - 23 | Patriots | Jimmy Garoppolo | 106.1 |
| 2 | Bills | Tyrod Taylor | 112.8 | L 31 - 37 | Jets | Ryan Fitzpatrick | 116.5 |
| 2 | Raiders | Derek Carr | 115.0 | L 28 - 35 | Falcons | Matt Ryan | 131.5 |
| 3 | Lions | Matthew Stafford | 112.3 | L 27 - 34 | Packers | Aaron Rodgers | 129.3 |
Teams whose quarterbacks do not break a QB rating of 100.0+ for the game are likely to lose. Thus far in 2016 teams whose quarterbacks had game rankings of less than 100 are 22-41 (.349). Quarterbacks with a rating between 90.0 and 99.9 are 6-6 (.500). Those with ratings 80.0 to 89.9 are 5-9 (.357). Quarterbacks with game ratings of 70.0 to 79.9 are 7-10 (.412) and those with ratings of 69.9 or less are 4-16 (.200). Now, if you could only predict in advance what the likely QB ratings for the two quarterbacks in any game were going to be. There is no need to be precise, just guestimate which quarterback is likely to have the better day and if you are correct you'll pick winners over 80% of the time. If you also know that the quarterback you selected will have a rating of 100.0 or higher then your selection could win as often as 95% of the time.
| QB Game Rating Win-Loss Record | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| QB Rating | Wins | Loses | Pct |
| 100.0+ | 26 | 7 | 0.788 |
| 90.0-99.9 | 6 | 6 | 0.500 |
| 80.0-89.9 | 5 | 9 | 0.357 |
| 70.0-79.9 | 7 | 10 | 0.412 |
| <= 69.9 | 4 | 16 | 0.200 |
Should be easy when you realize, for instance, that the Browns. 49ers and Jaguars haven't had a quarterback with a rating of 86.0 yet this year or that the defenses of the Broncos, Eagles, Texans and Titans haven't allowed the opposing quarterback to achieve a rating of 80.0 or more in any of their games. Or that neither the Jets nor the Lions have held a quarterback under 100.0 yet. But stay away from the Saints and the Falcons. Both Drew Brees and Matt Ryan can put up some really good numbers, but the Saints and Falcons defenses haven't held any quarterbacks under the high 90s yet. Also, beware of erratic quarterbacks. Ryan Fitzgerald put up some pretty good numbers during week two resulting in a rating of 116.5. Week three? Not so good: 18.2. Ouch.
Otherwise, it should be fairly easy. You can try it out at your own risk. Results may vary. Past results are no guarantee of future performance. State and federal laws may apply.
| 2016 Week 3 Passing Statistics | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Team | Opp | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | Pct TD | Int | Pct Int | Sacks | Yds Lost | Rating | Score |
| Trevor Siemian | Broncos | Bengals | 35 | 23 | 65.7 | 312 | 8.9 | 4 | 11.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 9 | 132.1 | W 29 - 17 |
| Aaron Rodgers | Packers | Lions | 24 | 15 | 62.5 | 205 | 8.5 | 4 | 16.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 4 | 129.3 | W 34 - 27 |
| Carson Wentz | Eagles | Steelers | 31 | 23 | 74.2 | 301 | 9.7 | 2 | 6.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 125.9 | W 34 - 3 |
| Dak Prescott | Cowboys | Bears | 24 | 19 | 79.2 | 248 | 10.3 | 1 | 4.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 123.6 | W 31 - 17 |
| Tress Way | Redskins | Giants | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | 31 | 31.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 118.7 | W 29 - 27 |
| Russell Wilson | Seahawks | 49ers | 23 | 15 | 65.2 | 243 | 10.6 | 1 | 4.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 17 | 114.9 | W 37 - 18 |
| Matt Ryan | Falcons | Saints | 30 | 20 | 66.7 | 240 | 8.0 | 2 | 6.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 15 | 113.2 | W 45 - 32 |
| Matthew Stafford | Lions | Packers | 41 | 28 | 68.3 | 385 | 9.4 | 3 | 7.3 | 1 | 2.4 | 3 | 17 | 112.3 | L 27 - 34 |
| Kirk Cousins | Redskins | Giants | 35 | 21 | 60.0 | 296 | 8.5 | 2 | 5.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 14 | 106.4 | W 29 - 27 |
| Alex Smith | Chiefs | Jets | 33 | 25 | 75.8 | 237 | 7.2 | 1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 16 | 105.2 | W 24 - 3 |
| Drew Brees | Saints | Falcons | 54 | 36 | 66.7 | 376 | 7.0 | 3 | 5.6 | 1 | 1.9 | 2 | 17 | 97.5 | L 32 - 45 |
| Trevone Boykin | Seahawks | 49ers | 9 | 7 | 77.8 | 65 | 7.2 | 1 | 11.1 | 1 | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 94.2 | W 37 - 18 |
| Ryan Tannehill | Dolphins | Browns | 39 | 25 | 64.1 | 319 | 8.2 | 3 | 7.7 | 2 | 5.1 | 1 | 8 | 93.9 | W 30 - 24 |
| Brian Hoyer | Bears | Cowboys | 49 | 30 | 61.2 | 317 | 6.5 | 2 | 4.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 93.7 | L 17 - 31 |
| Jameis Winston | Buccaneers | Rams | 58 | 36 | 62.1 | 405 | 7.0 | 3 | 5.2 | 1 | 1.7 | 2 | 16 | 93.0 | L 32 - 37 |
| Sam Bradford | Vikings | Panthers | 28 | 18 | 64.3 | 171 | 6.1 | 1 | 3.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 18 | 93.0 | W 22 - 10 |
| Philip Rivers | Chargers | Colts | 39 | 26 | 66.7 | 330 | 8.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 11 | 92.9 | L 22 - 26 |
| Andrew Luck | Colts | Chargers | 37 | 24 | 64.9 | 331 | 8.9 | 1 | 2.7 | 1 | 2.7 | 2 | 14 | 91.2 | W 26 - 22 |
| Case Keenum | Rams | Buccaneers | 26 | 14 | 53.8 | 190 | 7.3 | 2 | 7.7 | 1 | 3.8 | 1 | 7 | 87.0 | W 37 - 32 |
| Cody Kessler | Browns | Dolphins | 33 | 21 | 63.6 | 244 | 7.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 3 | 17 | 85.9 | L 24 - 30 |
| Eli Manning | Giants | Redskins | 38 | 25 | 65.8 | 350 | 9.2 | 1 | 2.6 | 2 | 5.3 | 2 | 13 | 82.1 | L 27 - 29 |
| Terrelle Pryor | Browns | Dolphins | 5 | 3 | 60.0 | 35 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 81.2 | L 24 - 30 |
| Derek Carr | Raiders | Titans | 35 | 21 | 60.0 | 249 | 7.1 | 1 | 2.9 | 1 | 2.9 | 1 | 4 | 79.3 | W 17 - 10 |
| Derek Anderson | Panthers | Vikings | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 79.2 | L 10 - 22 |
| Jacoby Brissett | Patriots | Texans | 19 | 11 | 57.9 | 103 | 5.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 6 | 72.9 | W 27 - 0 |
| Andy Dalton | Bengals | Broncos | 31 | 21 | 67.7 | 206 | 6.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3.2 | 4 | 17 | 72.8 | L 17 - 29 |
| Joe Flacco | Ravens | Jaguars | 40 | 29 | 72.5 | 214 | 5.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 5.0 | 2 | 15 | 64.0 | W 19 - 17 |
| Ben Roethlisberger | Steelers | Eagles | 44 | 24 | 54.5 | 257 | 5.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2.3 | 4 | 35 | 62.4 | L 3 - 34 |
| Brock Osweiler | Texans | Patriots | 41 | 24 | 58.5 | 196 | 4.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2.4 | 2 | 21 | 60.6 | L 0 - 27 |
| Blake Bortles | Jaguars | Ravens | 38 | 24 | 63.2 | 194 | 5.1 | 2 | 5.3 | 3 | 7.9 | 4 | 26 | 60.6 | L 17 - 19 |
| Tyrod Taylor | Bills | Cardinals | 25 | 14 | 56.0 | 119 | 4.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 4.0 | 4 | 30 | 51.9 | W 33 - 18 |
| Blaine Gabbert | 49ers | Seahawks | 25 | 14 | 56.0 | 119 | 4.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 51.9 | L 18 - 37 |
| Cam Newton | Panthers | Vikings | 35 | 21 | 60.0 | 262 | 7.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 3 | 8.6 | 8 | 64 | 47.6 | L 10 - 22 |
| Marcus Mariota | Titans | Raiders | 33 | 17 | 51.5 | 214 | 6.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 6.1 | 1 | 2 | 46.8 | L 10 - 17 |
| Carson Palmer | Cardinals | Bills | 50 | 26 | 52.0 | 287 | 5.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 4 | 8.0 | 5 | 27 | 36.0 | L 18 - 33 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | Jets | Chiefs | 44 | 20 | 45.5 | 188 | 4.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 6 | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 18.2 | L 3 - 24 |
Jameis Winston, Oliver Luck, Blaine Gabbert & Alex Smith Worst Week Two Passers
By Chris Malumphy
Who would have thought that some of the worst passing performances in week two of the 2016 NFL season would be put up by Jameis Winston (quarterback rating of 39.2), Oliver Luck (64.3) and Alex Smith (68.1). While Blaine Gabbert (64.9) could be expected to be among the worst on any given Sunday (or Monday and Thursdays nowadays), the others are well-above average quarterbacks. Of course, their opponents last week do have pretty good defenses that can send any quarterback into a tailspin: Winston (Cardinals), Luck (Broncos), Gabbert (Panthers), Smith (Texans).
As a Browns loyalist, I was more than dismayed by the bogus taunting call on Terrelle Pryor near the end their game against Ravens game on Sunday. The Browns were threatening a game-winning drive, and Pryor had just made a catch that with a defensive holding penalty against the Ravens would have given the Browns a first down at about the 10 with 20 some seconds to go. Instead, the call against Pryor placed the ball back on the 30. At that point, Josh McCown's quarterback rating for the day stood at 95.8. The next play was a desperation toss into the end zone that was intercepted, dropping McCown's rating to 80.4 a 15.4 point drop. It never occurred to me before how just one play in a game in which a quarterback threw over 30 passes could change a quarterback's rating. It never occurred to me that a referee's call on a different play could influence that rating either. No excuses for a throw that didn't need to be made, but McCown played a gutsy game with a serious injury and the referee's call destroyed the Browns' chance at a victory. I'm sure McCown doesn't care a twit about his stats, but he played a heck of a game and it's a shame that his stats no longer reflect that.| 2016 Week Two Passing Statistics | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Team | Opp | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | Pct TD | Int | Pct Int | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating | Score |
| Philip Rivers | Chargers | Jaguars | 24 | 17 | 70.8 | 220 | 9.2 | 4 | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 138.9 | W 38 - 14 |
| Matt Ryan | Falcons | Raiders | 34 | 26 | 76.5 | 396 | 11.6 | 3 | 8.8 | 1 | 2.9 | 1 | 7 | 131.5 | W 35 - 28 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | Patriots | Dolphins | 27 | 18 | 66.7 | 234 | 8.7 | 3 | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130.8 | W 31 - 24 |
| Carson Palmer | Cardinals | Buccaneers | 31 | 18 | 58.1 | 308 | 9.9 | 3 | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 124.1 | W 40 - 7 |
| Sam Bradford | Vikings | Packers | 31 | 22 | 71 | 286 | 9.2 | 2 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 121.2 | W 17 - 14 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | Jets | Bills | 34 | 24 | 70.6 | 374 | 11 | 1 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 116.5 | W 37 - 31 |
| Derek Carr | Raiders | Falcons | 45 | 34 | 75.6 | 299 | 6.6 | 3 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 115 | L 28 - 35 |
| Tyrod Taylor | Bills | Jets | 30 | 18 | 60 | 297 | 9.9 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 3.3 | 0 | 0 | 112.8 | L 31 - 37 |
| Cam Newton | Panthers | 49ers | 40 | 24 | 60 | 353 | 8.8 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 2.5 | 1 | 0 | 111.8 | W 46 - 27 |
| EJ Manuel | Bills | Jets | 1 | 1 | 100 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108.3 | L 31 - 37 |
| Eli Manning | Giants | Saints | 41 | 32 | 78 | 368 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 104.1 | W 16 - 13 |
| Dak Prescott | Cowboys | Redskins | 30 | 22 | 73.3 | 292 | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 103.7 | W 27 - 23 |
| Marcus Mariota | Titans | Lions | 33 | 25 | 75.8 | 238 | 7.2 | 2 | 6.1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 102.8 | W 16 - 15 |
| Jacoby Brissett | Patriots | Dolphins | 9 | 6 | 66.7 | 92 | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 100.2 | W 31 - 24 |
| Ryan Tannehill | Dolphins | Patriots | 45 | 32 | 71.1 | 389 | 8.6 | 2 | 4.4 | 2 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 | 93.7 | L 24 - 31 |
| Brian Hoyer | Bears | Eagles | 12 | 9 | 75 | 78 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91.7 | L 14 - 29 |
| Drew Brees | Saints | Giants | 44 | 29 | 65.9 | 263 | 6 | 1 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 89.5 | L 13 - 16 |
| Carson Wentz | Eagles | Bears | 34 | 21 | 61.8 | 190 | 5.6 | 1 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 86.6 | W 29 - 14 |
| Case Keenum | Rams | Seahawks | 30 | 18 | 60 | 239 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 85.3 | W 9 - 3 |
| Russell Wilson | Seahawks | Rams | 35 | 22 | 62.9 | 254 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 84.7 | L 3 - 9 |
| Andy Dalton | Bengals | Steelers | 54 | 31 | 57.4 | 366 | 6.8 | 1 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 84.3 | L 16 - 24 |
| Kirk Cousins | Redskins | Cowboys | 46 | 28 | 60.9 | 364 | 7.9 | 1 | 2.2 | 1 | 2.2 | 2 | 14 | 84 | L 23 - 27 |
| Josh McCown | Browns | Ravens | 33 | 20 | 60.6 | 260 | 7.9 | 2 | 6.1 | 2 | 6.1 | 3 | 18 | 80.4 | L 20 - 25 |
| Trevor Siemian | Broncos | Colts | 33 | 22 | 66.7 | 266 | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 78.6 | W 34 - 20 |
| Ben Roethlisberger | Steelers | Bengals | 37 | 19 | 51.4 | 259 | 7 | 3 | 8.1 | 2 | 5.4 | 1 | 9 | 78.5 | W 24 - 16 |
| Blake Bortles | Jaguars | Chargers | 50 | 31 | 62 | 329 | 6.6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 77.8 | L 14 - 38 |
| Jay Cutler | Bears | Eagles | 17 | 12 | 70.6 | 157 | 9.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5.9 | 3 | 15 | 74.9 | L 14 - 29 |
| Matthew Stafford | Lions | Titans | 40 | 22 | 55 | 260 | 6.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 4 | 22 | 72.9 | L 15 - 16 |
| Joe Flacco | Ravens | Browns | 45 | 25 | 55.6 | 302 | 6.7 | 2 | 4.4 | 2 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 | 72.6 | W 25 - 20 |
| Aaron Rodgers | Packers | Vikings | 36 | 20 | 55.6 | 213 | 5.9 | 1 | 2.8 | 1 | 2.8 | 5 | 33 | 70.7 | L 14 - 17 |
| Brock Osweiler | Texans | Chiefs | 33 | 19 | 57.6 | 268 | 8.1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6.1 | 2 | 14 | 68.8 | W 19 - 12 |
| Alex Smith | Chiefs | Texans | 37 | 20 | 54.1 | 186 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 68.1 | L 12 - 19 |
| Blaine Gabbert | 49ers | Panthers | 36 | 17 | 47.2 | 243 | 6.8 | 2 | 5.6 | 2 | 5.6 | 2 | 6 | 64.9 | L 27 - 46 |
| Andrew Luck | Colts | Broncos | 40 | 21 | 52.5 | 197 | 4.9 | 1 | 2.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 5 | 27 | 64.3 | L 20 - 34 |
| Drew Stanton | Cardinals | Buccaneers | 4 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39.6 | W 40 - 7 |
| Kellen Clemens | Chargers | Jaguars | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39.6 | W 38 - 14 |
| Jameis Winston | Buccaneers | Cardinals | 52 | 27 | 51.9 | 243 | 4.7 | 1 | 1.9 | 4 | 7.7 | 3 | 22 | 39.2 | L 7 - 40 |
2016 NFL Week One Rushing Leaders
By Chris Malumphy
The leading rushers in week one were: DeAngelo Williams, Steelers, 143 yards; Lamar Miller, Texans, 106; Matt Forte, Jets, 96;, C.J. Anderson, Broncos, 92; Danny Woodhead, Chargers, 89; David Johnson, Cardinals, 89; Carlos Hyde, 49ers, 88; and Jalen Richard, Raiders 84.
| Running Statistics for 2016 Week One | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Team | Opp | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | Score |
| Cam Newton | Panthers | Broncos | 11 | 54 | 4.9 | 1 | L 20 - 21 |
| Jonathan Stewart | Panthers | Broncos | 15 | 64 | 4.3 | 0 | L 20 - 21 |
| Ted Ginn | Panthers | Broncos | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | 0 | L 20 - 21 |
| Fozzy Whittaker | Panthers | Broncos | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | 0 | L 20 - 21 |
| Mike Tolbert | Panthers | Broncos | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | L 20 - 21 |
| Trevor Siemian | Broncos | Panthers | 5 | 20 | 4.0 | 0 | W 21 - 20 |
| C.J. Anderson | Broncos | Panthers | 20 | 92 | 4.6 | 1 | W 21 - 20 |
| Andy Janovich | Broncos | Panthers | 1 | 28 | 28.0 | 1 | W 21 - 20 |
| Devontae Booker | Broncos | Panthers | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | 0 | W 21 - 20 |
| Robert Griffin | Browns | Eagles | 5 | 37 | 7.4 | 0 | L 10 - 29 |
| Isaiah Crowell | Browns | Eagles | 12 | 62 | 5.2 | 1 | L 10 - 29 |
| Duke Johnson | Browns | Eagles | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0 | L 10 - 29 |
| Andrew Hawkins | Browns | Eagles | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | L 10 - 29 |
| Carson Wentz | Eagles | Browns | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | W 29 - 10 |
| Ryan Mathews | Eagles | Browns | 22 | 77 | 3.5 | 1 | W 29 - 10 |
| Kenjon Barner | Eagles | Browns | 4 | 42 | 10.5 | 0 | W 29 - 10 |
| Darren Sproles | Eagles | Browns | 5 | 12 | 2.4 | 0 | W 29 - 10 |
| Wendell Smallwood | Eagles | Browns | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | W 29 - 10 |
| Aaron Rodgers | Packers | Jaguars | 4 | 16 | 4.0 | 1 | W 27 - 23 |
| Eddie Lacy | Packers | Jaguars | 14 | 61 | 4.4 | 0 | W 27 - 23 |
| Randall Cobb | Packers | Jaguars | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 0 | W 27 - 23 |
| James Starks | Packers | Jaguars | 4 | 7 | 1.8 | 0 | W 27 - 23 |
| Blake Bortles | Jaguars | Packers | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | L 23 - 27 |
| T.J. Yeldon | Jaguars | Packers | 21 | 39 | 1.9 | 1 | L 23 - 27 |
| Denard Robinson | Jaguars | Packers | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | L 23 - 27 |
| Jameis Winston | Buccaneers | Falcons | 4 | 3 | 0.8 | 0 | W 31 - 24 |
| Doug Martin | Buccaneers | Falcons | 18 | 62 | 3.4 | 0 | W 31 - 24 |
| Charles Sims | Buccaneers | Falcons | 4 | 9 | 2.2 | 0 | W 31 - 24 |
| Russell Shepard | Buccaneers | Falcons | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | W 31 - 24 |
| Adam Humphries | Buccaneers | Falcons | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | W 31 - 24 |
| Matt Ryan | Falcons | Buccaneers | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | 0 | L 24 - 31 |
| Tevin Coleman | Falcons | Buccaneers | 8 | 22 | 2.8 | 0 | L 24 - 31 |
| Devonta Freeman | Falcons | Buccaneers | 11 | 20 | 1.8 | 0 | L 24 - 31 |
| Shaun Hill | Vikings | Titans | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | W 25 - 16 |
| Adrian Peterson | Vikings | Titans | 19 | 31 | 1.6 | 0 | W 25 - 16 |
| Matt Asiata | Vikings | Titans | 4 | 13 | 3.2 | 0 | W 25 - 16 |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | Vikings | Titans | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | W 25 - 16 |
| Jerick McKinnon | Vikings | Titans | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | W 25 - 16 |
| Stefon Diggs | Vikings | Titans | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | W 25 - 16 |
| Marcus Mariota | Titans | Vikings | 4 | 19 | 4.8 | 0 | L 16 - 25 |
| DeMarco Murray | Titans | Vikings | 13 | 42 | 3.2 | 0 | L 16 - 25 |
| Derrick Henry | Titans | Vikings | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | 0 | L 16 - 25 |
| Tyrod Taylor | Bills | Ravens | 5 | 11 | 2.2 | 0 | L 7 - 13 |
| LeSean McCoy | Bills | Ravens | 16 | 58 | 3.6 | 1 | L 7 - 13 |
| Reggie Bush | Bills | Ravens | 3 | -4 | -1.3 | 0 | L 7 - 13 |
| Joe Flacco | Ravens | Bills | 4 | -3 | -0.8 | 0 | W 13 - 7 |
| Justin Forsett | Ravens | Bills | 10 | 41 | 4.1 | 0 | W 13 - 7 |
| Terrance West | Ravens | Bills | 12 | 32 | 2.7 | 0 | W 13 - 7 |
| Mike Wallace | Ravens | Bills | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | W 13 - 7 |
| Kyle Juszczyk | Ravens | Bills | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | W 13 - 7 |
| Jay Cutler | Bears | Texans | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | L 14 - 23 |
| Jeremy Langford | Bears | Texans | 17 | 57 | 3.4 | 1 | L 14 - 23 |
| Ka'Deem Carey | Bears | Texans | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | L 14 - 23 |
| Brock Osweiler | Texans | Bears | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | 0 | W 23 - 14 |
| Lamar Miller | Texans | Bears | 28 | 106 | 3.8 | 0 | W 23 - 14 |
| Alfred Blue | Texans | Bears | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | W 23 - 14 |
| Tyler Ervin | Texans | Bears | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | W 23 - 14 |
| Jay Prosch | Texans | Bears | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | W 23 - 14 |
| Derek Carr | Raiders | Saints | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | W 35 - 34 |
| Jalen Richard | Raiders | Saints | 3 | 84 | 28.0 | 1 | W 35 - 34 |
| Latavius Murray | Raiders | Saints | 14 | 59 | 4.2 | 1 | W 35 - 34 |
| DeAndre Washington | Raiders | Saints | 5 | 14 | 2.8 | 0 | W 35 - 34 |
| Jamize Olawale | Raiders | Saints | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | W 35 - 34 |
| Taiwan Jones | Raiders | Saints | 1 | -8 | -8.0 | 0 | W 35 - 34 |
| Drew Brees | Saints | Raiders | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | L 34 - 35 |
| Mark Ingram | Saints | Raiders | 12 | 58 | 4.8 | 0 | L 34 - 35 |
| Brandin Cooks | Saints | Raiders | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | L 34 - 35 |
| Tim Hightower | Saints | Raiders | 4 | 9 | 2.2 | 0 | L 34 - 35 |
| John Kuhn | Saints | Raiders | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | L 34 - 35 |
| Travaris Cadet | Saints | Raiders | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | L 34 - 35 |
| Philip Rivers | Chargers | Chiefs | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | L 27 - 33 |
| Danny Woodhead | Chargers | Chiefs | 16 | 89 | 5.6 | 0 | L 27 - 33 |
| Melvin Gordon | Chargers | Chiefs | 14 | 57 | 4.1 | 2 | L 27 - 33 |
| Alex Smith | Chiefs | Chargers | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | 1 | W 33 - 27 |
| Spencer Ware | Chiefs | Chargers | 11 | 70 | 6.4 | 1 | W 33 - 27 |
| Jeremy Maclin | Chiefs | Chargers | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | W 33 - 27 |
| Charcandrick West | Chiefs | Chargers | 3 | -1 | -0.3 | 0 | W 33 - 27 |
| Andy Dalton | Bengals | Jets | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | W 23 - 22 |
| Jeremy Hill | Bengals | Jets | 9 | 31 | 3.4 | 1 | W 23 - 22 |
| Giovani Bernard | Bengals | Jets | 5 | 25 | 5.0 | 0 | W 23 - 22 |
| James Wright | Bengals | Jets | 2 | -6 | -3.0 | 0 | W 23 - 22 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | Jets | Bengals | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | 0 | L 22 - 23 |
| Matt Forte | Jets | Bengals | 22 | 96 | 4.4 | 0 | L 22 - 23 |
| Bilal Powell | Jets | Bengals | 4 | 41 | 10.2 | 0 | L 22 - 23 |
| Ryan Tannehill | Dolphins | Seahawks | 5 | 17 | 3.4 | 1 | L 10 - 12 |
| Arian Foster | Dolphins | Seahawks | 13 | 38 | 2.9 | 0 | L 10 - 12 |
| Damien Williams | Dolphins | Seahawks | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | L 10 - 12 |
| Russell Wilson | Seahawks | Dolphins | 4 | 16 | 4.0 | 0 | W 12 - 10 |
| Christine Michael | Seahawks | Dolphins | 15 | 66 | 4.4 | 0 | W 12 - 10 |
| Thomas Rawls | Seahawks | Dolphins | 12 | 32 | 2.7 | 0 | W 12 - 10 |
| C.J. Prosise | Seahawks | Dolphins | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 | W 12 - 10 |
| Rashad Jennings | Giants | Cowboys | 18 | 75 | 4.2 | 0 | W 20 - 19 |
| Shane Vereen | Giants | Cowboys | 6 | 38 | 6.3 | 0 | W 20 - 19 |
| Dak Prescott | Cowboys | Giants | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | L 19 - 20 |
| Ezekiel Elliott | Cowboys | Giants | 20 | 51 | 2.5 | 1 | L 19 - 20 |
| Alfred Morris | Cowboys | Giants | 7 | 35 | 5.0 | 0 | L 19 - 20 |
| Keith Smith | Cowboys | Giants | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | L 19 - 20 |
| Matthew Stafford | Lions | Colts | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | W 39 - 35 |
| Ameer Abdullah | Lions | Colts | 12 | 63 | 5.2 | 0 | W 39 - 35 |
| Theo Riddick | Lions | Colts | 7 | 45 | 6.4 | 1 | W 39 - 35 |
| Golden Tate | Lions | Colts | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | W 39 - 35 |
| Dwayne Washington | Lions | Colts | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | W 39 - 35 |
| Andrew Luck | Colts | Lions | 3 | 21 | 7.0 | 0 | L 35 - 39 |
| Frank Gore | Colts | Lions | 14 | 59 | 4.2 | 0 | L 35 - 39 |
| Robert Turbin | Colts | Lions | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | L 35 - 39 |
| Josh Ferguson | Colts | Lions | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 | L 35 - 39 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | Patriots | Cardinals | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | 0 | W 23 - 21 |
| LeGarrette Blount | Patriots | Cardinals | 22 | 70 | 3.2 | 1 | W 23 - 21 |
| Julian Edelman | Patriots | Cardinals | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | 0 | W 23 - 21 |
| James White | Patriots | Cardinals | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | W 23 - 21 |
| Brandon Bolden | Patriots | Cardinals | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | W 23 - 21 |
| Carson Palmer | Cardinals | Patriots | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | L 21 - 23 |
| David Johnson | Cardinals | Patriots | 16 | 89 | 5.6 | 1 | L 21 - 23 |
| Chris Johnson | Cardinals | Patriots | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | L 21 - 23 |
| Ben Roethlisberger | Steelers | Redskins | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 | W 38 - 16 |
| DeAngelo Williams | Steelers | Redskins | 26 | 143 | 5.5 | 2 | W 38 - 16 |
| Fitzgerald Toussaint | Steelers | Redskins | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 0 | W 38 - 16 |
| Kirk Cousins | Redskins | Steelers | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | L 16 - 38 |
| Matt Jones | Redskins | Steelers | 7 | 24 | 3.4 | 0 | L 16 - 38 |
| Chris Thompson | Redskins | Steelers | 4 | 23 | 5.8 | 1 | L 16 - 38 |
| Case Keenum | Rams | 49ers | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | 0 | L 0 - 28 |
| Todd Gurley | Rams | 49ers | 17 | 47 | 2.8 | 0 | L 0 - 28 |
| Malcolm Brown | Rams | 49ers | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | L 0 - 28 |
| Tavon Austin | Rams | 49ers | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | L 0 - 28 |
| Benny Cunningham | Rams | 49ers | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | L 0 - 28 |
| Blaine Gabbert | 49ers | Rams | 9 | 43 | 4.8 | 0 | W 28 - 0 |
| Carlos Hyde | 49ers | Rams | 23 | 88 | 3.8 | 2 | W 28 - 0 |
| Shaun Draughn | 49ers | Rams | 7 | 18 | 2.6 | 1 | W 28 - 0 |
| Mike Davis | 49ers | Rams | 3 | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | W 28 - 0 |
Quarterback Play Remains Key to Success as 2016 NFL Season is Underway
By Chris Malumphy
Four quarterbacks made their first career starts during the first game of the 2016 NFL season: rookies Carson Wentz of the Eagles and Dak Prescott of the Cowboys along with second year pro Trevor Siemian of the Broncos and Jimmy Garoppolo, now in his third season with the Patriots. Wentz, Garoppolo and Siemian won their first starts while Prescott lost by one point in a matchup against Eli Manning and the New York Giants. Wentz and Garoppolo played well but Siemian came out victorious primarily due to the Broncos stalwart defense and a missed field goal by the Panthers in the waning moments of the game. Only Alex Smith and Oliver Luck attempted more passes than Prescott in the first week of the season, but Prescott gained a miserably low 5.0 yards per attempt and was one of just seven quarterbacks who failed to through a touchdown pass during the first game of the season joining: Buffalo's Tyrod Taylor, Minnesota's Shaun Hill, Miami's Ryan Tannehill, Washington's Kirk Cousins, Cleveland's Robert Griffin III and Los Angeles' Case Keenum.
Week one had some fine passing performances. Eleven quarterbacks had ratings topping 100.0 with another five over 90.0. Quarterbacks with ratings under 90.0 are therefore in the bottom half of the league. However, putting up a fantastic quarterback rating doesn't necessarily lead to victory. The Saints' Drew Brews had a great day throwing the ball completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 423 yards, 10.1 yards per attempt, with four touchdowns and no interceptions and a league leading 131.3 quarterback rating. Nevertheless, the Saints lost to the Raiders 35-34, partially due to a successful daring move by Coach Jack Del Rio to go for a two point conversation rather than play for overtime. Three of the top six quarterback ratings during week one were amassed in losing causes as the efforts of Brees, Andrew Luck and Matt Ryan and their teammates fell short of victory.
Although having a statistically great passing day doesn't always lead to victory, passing poorly almost surely leads to a loss. Nine quarterbacks had ratings of 77.0 or less. Eight of the nine lost their games: Jets' Ryan Fitzpatrick, Bears' Jay Cutler, Dolphins' Ryan Tannehill, Redskins' Kirk Cousins, Panthers' Cam Newton, Cowboys' Dak Prescott, Browns' Robert Griffin III and Rams' Case Keenum. The only quarterback with a poor passing rating to come out victorious was the Broncos' Trevor Siemian who won because his defense caused opponent Cam Newton to have an equally poor game, holding the Panthers to three second half points, and because the Panthers missed a field goal that should have won the game.
The Buccaneers' Jameis Winston showed that he is a real force and well worthy of his number one selection a year ago. Winston completed nearly 70% of his passes and threw four touchdowns without taking a sack. Detroit's Matthew Stafford also played well winning a shootout with Oliver Luck of the Colts. Andy Dalton continues to play well for the Bengals, at least during the regular season. Dalton completed 76.7 percent of his passes for 366 yards and a league leading 12.2 yards per attempt despite taking 7 sacks.
Those seven sacks must concern the Bengals, but the Bears and the Dolphins also have to worry about the state of their offensive lines and the health of their quarterbacks as Jay Cutler and Ryan Tannehill were both sacked five times. Of course, the defenses of the Texans and the Seahawks do provide more pressure than most other teams.
In addition to worrying about protecting their quarterbacks from being sacked too often, teams also grow concerned when their quarterbacks don't protect the ball. One game is certainly too soon to tell, but the Redskins, Broncos and Rams can't be too thrilled that Kirk Cousins, Trevor Siemian and Case Keenum each threw two interceptions. Cousins' job is safe for this season, but Paxton Lynch is awaiting his eventual first start in Denver while both Sean Mannion and Jared Goff hope to get to move under center in Los Angeles sooner rather than later.
Take note that nearly 10% of quarterbacks expected to be starters at the beginning of the season have already been injured and will miss extensive time: the Cowboys' Tony Romo, the Vikings' Teddy Bridgewater and the Browns' Robert Griffin III (who at least made it through opening day, injuring his shoulder near games end). Three down, 29 to go and what is an increasingly dangerous game to play.
Quarterback play continues to be the key to winning NFL games. Although difficult to predict in advance, the quarterbacks with ratings higher than their opponents during week one of the 2016 NFL season were 13-3. Moreover, two of the three losses were by just one point each. Denver beat Carolina 21-20 in the season opener even though Cam Newton (69.5) passed slightly better statistically than Trevor Siemian (69.1). The daring play call by Coach Jack Del Rio helped the Raiders top the Saints 35-34 despite Drew Brees (131.3) out-passing Derek Carr (98.5). And the woes in Tennessee continue as the Titans fell to Vikings while Marcus Mariota (86.5) threw better than career backup Shaun Hill (77.3). Of course, the Vikings remain one of the better teams in the league even with the loss of Teddy Bridgewater to injury. They would have gone deeper into the playoffs last season had they not missed an easy game-winning field goal at the gun.
As an aside, home teams were just 7-9 during week one.
| QB Statistics from 2016 Week One | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Team | Opp | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | Pct TD | Int | Pct Int | Sacks | Yds Lost | Rating | Score |
| Drew Brees | Saints | Raiders | 42 | 28 | 66.7 | 423 | 10.1 | 4 | 9.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 4 | 131.3 | L 34 - 35 |
| Matthew Stafford | Lions | Colts | 39 | 31 | 79.5 | 340 | 8.7 | 3 | 7.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 8 | 128.6 | W 39 - 35 |
| Jameis Winston | Buccaneers | Falcons | 33 | 23 | 69.7 | 281 | 8.5 | 4 | 12.1 | 1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 122.6 | W 31 - 24 |
| Andrew Luck | Colts | Lions | 47 | 31 | 66.0 | 385 | 8.2 | 4 | 8.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 17 | 119.5 | L 35 - 39 |
| Andy Dalton | Bengals | Jets | 30 | 23 | 76.7 | 366 | 12.2 | 1 | 3.3 | 1 | 3.3 | 7 | 42 | 114.0 | W 23 - 22 |
| Matt Ryan | Falcons | Buccaneers | 39 | 27 | 69.2 | 334 | 8.6 | 2 | 5.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 3 | 12 | 112.6 | L 24 - 31 |
| Ben Roethlisberger | Steelers | Redskins | 37 | 27 | 73.0 | 300 | 8.1 | 3 | 8.1 | 1 | 2.7 | 1 | 12 | 112.4 | W 38 - 16 |
| Eli Manning | Giants | Cowboys | 28 | 19 | 67.9 | 207 | 7.4 | 3 | 10.7 | 1 | 3.6 | 2 | 4 | 110.3 | W 20 - 19 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | Patriots | Cardinals | 33 | 24 | 72.7 | 264 | 8.0 | 1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 7 | 106.1 | W 23 - 21 |
| Carson Palmer | Cardinals | Patriots | 37 | 24 | 64.9 | 271 | 7.3 | 2 | 5.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 3 | 19 | 104.7 | L 21 - 23 |
| Carson Wentz | Eagles | Browns | 37 | 22 | 59.5 | 278 | 7.5 | 2 | 5.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 8 | 101.0 | W 29 - 10 |
| Joe Flacco | Ravens | Bills | 34 | 23 | 67.6 | 258 | 7.6 | 1 | 2.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 4 | 33 | 99.9 | W 13 - 7 |
| Derek Carr | Raiders | Saints | 38 | 24 | 63.2 | 319 | 8.4 | 1 | 2.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 98.5 | W 35 - 34 |
| Alex Smith | Chiefs | Chargers | 48 | 34 | 70.8 | 363 | 7.6 | 2 | 4.2 | 1 | 2.1 | 3 | 33 | 97.8 | W 33 - 27 |
| Philip Rivers | Chargers | Chiefs | 36 | 25 | 69.4 | 243 | 6.8 | 1 | 2.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 10 | 97.3 | L 27 - 33 |
| Aaron Rodgers | Packers | Jaguars | 34 | 20 | 58.8 | 199 | 5.9 | 2 | 5.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 95.1 | W 27 - 23 |
| Brock Osweiler | Texans | Bears | 35 | 22 | 62.9 | 231 | 6.6 | 2 | 5.7 | 1 | 2.9 | 2 | 16 | 89.1 | W 23 - 14 |
| Marcus Mariota | Titans | Vikings | 41 | 25 | 61.0 | 271 | 6.6 | 2 | 4.9 | 1 | 2.4 | 2 | 19 | 86.5 | L 16 - 25 |
| Blake Bortles | Jaguars | Packers | 39 | 24 | 61.5 | 320 | 8.2 | 1 | 2.6 | 1 | 2.6 | 3 | 20 | 85.4 | L 23 - 27 |
| Blaine Gabbert | 49ers | Rams | 35 | 22 | 62.9 | 170 | 4.9 | 1 | 2.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 84.2 | W 28 - 0 |
| Tyrod Taylor | Bills | Ravens | 22 | 15 | 68.2 | 111 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 16 | 79.9 | L 7 - 13 |
| Russell Wilson | Seahawks | Dolphins | 43 | 27 | 62.8 | 258 | 6.0 | 1 | 2.3 | 1 | 2.3 | 3 | 18 | 77.5 | W 12 - 10 |
| Shaun Hill | Vikings | Titans | 33 | 18 | 54.5 | 236 | 7.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 77.3 | W 25 - 16 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | Jets | Bengals | 35 | 19 | 54.3 | 189 | 5.4 | 2 | 5.7 | 1 | 2.9 | 1 | 1 | 77.0 | L 22 - 23 |
| Jay Cutler | Bears | Texans | 29 | 16 | 55.2 | 216 | 7.4 | 1 | 3.4 | 1 | 3.4 | 5 | 31 | 76.2 | L 14 - 23 |
| Ryan Tannehill | Dolphins | Seahawks | 29 | 16 | 55.2 | 186 | 6.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 5 | 36 | 74.8 | L 10 - 12 |
| Kirk Cousins | Redskins | Steelers | 43 | 30 | 69.8 | 329 | 7.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 4.7 | 0 | 0 | 72.7 | L 16 - 38 |
| Cam Newton | Panthers | Broncos | 33 | 18 | 54.5 | 194 | 5.9 | 1 | 3.0 | 1 | 3.0 | 3 | 18 | 69.5 | L 20 - 21 |
| Dak Prescott | Cowboys | Giants | 45 | 25 | 55.6 | 227 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 69.4 | L 19 - 20 |
| Trevor Siemian | Broncos | Panthers | 26 | 18 | 69.2 | 178 | 6.8 | 1 | 3.8 | 2 | 7.7 | 2 | 19 | 69.1 | W 21 - 20 |
| Robert Griffin | Browns | Eagles | 26 | 12 | 46.2 | 190 | 7.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3.8 | 3 | 22 | 55.0 | L 10 - 29 |
| Case Keenum | Rams | 49ers | 35 | 17 | 48.6 | 130 | 3.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 5.7 | 2 | 10 | 34.2 | L 0 - 28 |
Cowboys’ Dak Prescott is the Most Impactful Quarterback Drafted in 2016
By Chris Malumphy
Fifteen quarterbacks were drafted in 2016 with three taken in the first round including the first two picks. But fourth rounder Dak Prescott, the eighth quarterback selected, will be the first to have immediate impact by starting for the Dallas Cowboys on opening day as the replacement for the injured Tony Romo. Prescott deserves the honor. During the preseason he has far outplayed all of the other 14 quarterbacks drafted earlier this year. His quarterback rating of 137.8 is 40 points greater than his nearest rival. He has thrown the most touchdown passes and has yet to be intercepted. None of the other quarterbacks drafted in 2016 is close to his 78% completion rate, the nearest being Miami's Brandon Doughty at 71%. And Prescott and the Cowboys' receivers have been amassing some significant yardage, 9.1 yards per attempt; the next highest is New England's Jacoby Brissett at 6.9. These are preseason statistics to be sure, but the only other rookie quarterback near a starting spot now is Denver's Paxton Lynch, and he has yet to be given the nod.
The top two picks in the draft, Jared Goff for the relocated Rams and Carson Wentz for the Eagles will be on the bench opening day, neither having excelled during the preseason and with Wentz tending to injured ribs. [Update: the Eagles' trade of Sam Bradford to the Vikings is likely to get Wentz on the playing field sooner than expected.] Paxton Lynch of the Broncos may not get the opening day start, but he is likely to be the main man in Denver very, very soon. The Jets selection of Christian Hackenberg is likely to be as memorable as the selection of fellow Penn Stater Todd Blackledge by the Kansas City Chiefs back in 1983 ahead of Jim Kelly, Tony Eason, Ken O'Brien and a fella named Dan Marino. Jacoby Brisset has done ok in New England, but I believe Bill Belichick already thinks he is set at quarterback. Cody Kessler has done nothing but complete some dinks in Cleveland and has yet to challenge Robert Griffin or even Josh McCown. Connor Cook has played poorly in Oakland. Cardale Jones hasn't shown much accuracy or consistency in Buffalo.
The Chiefs Kevin Hogan has barely gotten on the field for a team with great depth, if somewhat limited talent, at quarterback. [Update: the Chiefs cut Hogan, who thne signed with the Browns.] In Washington, Nate Sudfeld won't be challenging Kurt Cousins or Colt McCoy anytime soon. Jake Rudock has shown enough talent that he could challenge for the backup spot someday. Brandon Allen is probably a year away for challenging for the backup position in Jacksonville. If only Jeff Driskel were better, he might have actually had the chance to challenge for the backup or even starting role in San Francisco which currently has the worst quarterback situation in the NFL. Brandon Doughty, the fifteenth quarterback drafted in 2016, has done well enough that he could hang on as a third stringer with the potential to be a backup in years ahead.
| Preseason Statistics for Quarterbacks Drafted in 2016 | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Rnd | Pick | Plyr | Team | College | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| Jared Goff | 1 | 1 | 1 | Rams | California | 49 | 22 | 44.9 | 232 | 4.7 | 2 | 4.1 | 2 | 4.1 | 4 | 29 | 55.8 |
| Carson Wentz | 1 | 2 | 2 | Eagles | North Dakota State | 24 | 12 | 50.0 | 89 | 3.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 41.8 |
| Paxton Lynch | 1 | 26 | 26 | Broncos | Memphis | 68 | 40 | 58.8 | 458 | 6.7 | 4 | 5.9 | 2 | 2.9 | 7 | 26 | 86.5 |
| Christian Hackenberg | 2 | 20 | 51 | Jets | Penn State | 47 | 17 | 36.2 | 159 | 3.4 | 1 | 2.1 | 2 | 4.3 | 1 | 6 | 35.7 |
| Jacoby Brissett | 3 | 29 | 91 | Patriots | North Carolina State | 56 | 38 | 67.9 | 387 | 6.9 | 1 | 1.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 6 | 17 | 93.4 |
| Cody Kessler | 3 | 31 | 93 | Browns | USC | 28 | 19 | 67.9 | 92 | 3.3 | 1 | 3.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 7 | 42 | 84.2 |
| Connor Cook | 4 | 2 | 100 | Raiders | Michigan State | 56 | 31 | 55.4 | 368 | 6.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 3 | 5.4 | 2 | 4 | 53.3 |
| Dak Prescott | 4 | 37 | 135 | Cowboys | Mississippi State | 50 | 39 | 78.0 | 454 | 9.1 | 5 | 10.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 6 | 137.8 |
| Cardale Jones | 4 | 41 | 139 | Bills | Ohio State | 59 | 29 | 49.2 | 362 | 6.1 | 1 | 1.7 | 2 | 3.4 | 3 | 11 | 60.1 |
| Kevin Hogan | 5 | 25 | 162 | Chiefs | Stanford | 15 | 7 | 46.7 | 36 | 2.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 25.7 |
| Nate Sudfeld | 6 | 12 | 187 | Redskins | Indiana | 53 | 28 | 52.8 | 238 | 4.5 | 3 | 5.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 6 | 42 | 83.7 |
| Jake Rudock | 6 | 16 | 191 | Lions | Michigan | 51 | 30 | 58.8 | 333 | 6.5 | 4 | 7.8 | 1 | 2.0 | 1 | 6 | 96.3 |
| Brandon Allen | 6 | 26 | 201 | Jaguars | Arkansas | 48 | 27 | 56.3 | 302 | 6.3 | 2 | 4.2 | 3 | 6.3 | 3 | 28 | 63.0 |
| Jeff Driskel | 6 | 32 | 207 | 49ers | Louisiana Tech | 31 | 15 | 48.4 | 132 | 4.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 6.5 | 2 | 13 | 33.3 |
| Brandon Doughty | 7 | 2 | 223 | Dolphins | Western Kentucky | 28 | 20 | 71.4 | 185 | 6.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 5 | 38 | 89.1 |
| Competition for Quarterbacks Drafted in 2016 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | ||||||||||||
| Name | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| Sean Mannion | 60 | 39 | 65.0 | 325 | 5.4 | 4 | 6.7 | 1 | 1.7 | 8 | 57 | 94.1 |
| Jared Goff | 49 | 22 | 44.9 | 232 | 4.7 | 2 | 4.1 | 2 | 4.1 | 4 | 29 | 55.8 |
| Case Keenum | 24 | 18 | 75.0 | 188 | 7.8 | 1 | 4.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 9 | 111.1 |
| Note: Jared Goff may be the future, but the jobs of Case Keenum and Sean Mannion seem safe until Goff can complete more than 45% of his passes. | ||||||||||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | ||||||||||||
| Name | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| Chase Daniel | 60 | 37 | 61.7 | 332 | 5.5 | 1 | 1.7 | 2 | 3.3 | 5 | 25 | 68.2 |
| Sam Bradford | 40 | 32 | 80.0 | 285 | 7.1 | 2 | 5.0 | 1 | 2.5 | 2 | 25 | 102.6 |
| Carson Wentz | 24 | 12 | 50.0 | 89 | 3.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 41.8 |
| McLeod Bethel-Thompson | 21 | 16 | 76.2 | 111 | 5.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 87.6 |
| Note: Incumbent Sam Bradford is playing well and Carson Wentz's playing time was limited due to injury. | ||||||||||||
| Denver Broncos | ||||||||||||
| Name | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| Paxton Lynch | 68 | 40 | 58.8 | 458 | 6.7 | 4 | 5.9 | 2 | 2.9 | 7 | 26 | 86.5 |
| Trevor Siemian | 43 | 27 | 62.8 | 285 | 6.6 | 1 | 2.3 | 2 | 4.7 | 0 | 0 | 70.4 |
| Mark Sanchez | 30 | 20 | 66.7 | 219 | 7.3 | 1 | 3.3 | 1 | 3.3 | 3 | 10 | 85.3 |
| Note: Paxton Lynch is outplaying his competition and the job could be his much sooner than anyone thought. His sack totals are a concern however. | ||||||||||||
| New York Jets | ||||||||||||
| Name | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| Bryce Petty | 56 | 32 | 57.1 | 481 | 8.6 | 3 | 5.4 | 1 | 1.8 | 6 | 24 | 95.9 |
| Christian Hackenberg | 47 | 17 | 36.2 | 159 | 3.4 | 1 | 2.1 | 2 | 4.3 | 1 | 6 | 35.7 |
| Geno Smith | 32 | 17 | 53.1 | 140 | 4.4 | 1 | 3.1 | 1 | 3.1 | 0 | 0 | 62.0 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 29 | 16 | 55.2 | 183 | 6.3 | 1 | 3.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 22 | 85.8 |
| Note: Christian Hackenberg is playing worse than any of the other quarterbacks drafted in 2016. He has no right playing third string ahead of Bryce Petty unless Petty's injury is serious. | ||||||||||||
| New England Patriots | ||||||||||||
| Name | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| Jacoby Brissett | 56 | 38 | 67.9 | 387 | 6.9 | 1 | 1.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 6 | 17 | 93.4 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 54 | 36 | 66.7 | 406 | 7.5 | 1 | 1.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 3 | 24 | 95.1 |
| Tom Brady | 35 | 19 | 54.3 | 242 | 6.9 | 2 | 5.7 | 1 | 2.9 | 2 | 11 | 83.3 |
| Note: Jacoby Brissett has played fine, but unless their is an injury, he probably won't see the field this year behind Tom Brady and Jimmy Garoppolo. | ||||||||||||
| Cleveland Browns | ||||||||||||
| Name | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| Robert Griffin III | 38 | 22 | 57.9 | 313 | 8.2 | 3 | 7.9 | 1 | 2.6 | 6 | 28 | 100.0 |
| Josh McCown | 37 | 19 | 51.4 | 191 | 5.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2.7 | 4 | 25 | 55.1 |
| Cody Kessler | 28 | 19 | 67.9 | 92 | 3.3 | 1 | 3.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 7 | 42 | 84.2 |
| Austin Davis | 9 | 4 | 44.4 | 32 | 3.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 53.9 |
| Note: Coach Hue Jackson has a lot of faith in Cody Kessler, but it is Robert Griffin's job for now with Josh McCown likely to be the number one backup unless he is traded. Kessler had an excellent completion percentage in the preseason, but only an infinitesimal 3.3 yard average per attempt. | ||||||||||||
| Oakland Raiders | ||||||||||||
| Name | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| Connor Cook | 56 | 31 | 55.4 | 368 | 6.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 3 | 5.4 | 2 | 4 | 53.3 |
| Derek Carr | 38 | 24 | 63.2 | 251 | 6.6 | 2 | 5.3 | 1 | 2.6 | 1 | 8 | 88.8 |
| Matt McGloin | 35 | 19 | 54.3 | 151 | 4.3 | 2 | 5.7 | 1 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 | 72.4 |
| Note: Derek Carr's job is not in jeopardy. Connor Cook played poorly in the preseason, but he does get the ball further downfield than backup Matt McGloin. | ||||||||||||
| Dallas Cowboys | ||||||||||||
| Name | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| Jameill Showers | 62 | 29 | 46.8 | 318 | 5.1 | 2 | 3.2 | 1 | 1.6 | 5 | 31 | 66.5 |
| Dak Prescott | 50 | 39 | 78.0 | 454 | 9.1 | 5 | 10.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 6 | 137.8 |
| Tony Romo | 6 | 5 | 83.3 | 60 | 10.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 108.3 |
| Note: Dak Prescott has been the rookie quarterback star of the preseason and will start for the Cowboys due to Tony Romo's back injury. | ||||||||||||
| Buffalo Bills | ||||||||||||
| Name | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| EJ Manuel | 75 | 40 | 53.3 | 391 | 5.2 | 2 | 2.7 | 1 | 1.3 | 7 | 49 | 71.6 |
| Cardale Jones | 59 | 29 | 49.2 | 362 | 6.1 | 1 | 1.7 | 2 | 3.4 | 3 | 11 | 60.1 |
| Tyrod Taylor | 18 | 11 | 61.1 | 150 | 8.3 | 1 | 5.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 4 | 106.2 |
| Note: Cardale Jones hasn't done anything to threaten Tyrod Taylor's starting job yet. | ||||||||||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | ||||||||||||
| Name | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| Alex Smith | 46 | 32 | 69.6 | 354 | 7.7 | 1 | 2.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 3 | 9 | 99.4 |
| Aaron Murray | 41 | 25 | 61.0 | 273 | 6.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 3 | 7.3 | 4 | 38 | 50.2 |
| Nick Foles | 35 | 24 | 68.6 | 235 | 6.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 87.2 |
| Tyler Bray | 26 | 13 | 50.0 | 152 | 5.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 68.1 |
| Kevin Hogan | 15 | 7 | 46.7 | 36 | 2.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 25.7 |
| Note: Of all the quarterbacks drafted in 2016, Kevin Hogan has played the least. With vets Alex Smith and Nick Foles in front of him, he can sit back and spend the year in learning mode, if he makes the team or the practice squad. | ||||||||||||
| Washington Redskins | ||||||||||||
| Name | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| Nate Sudfeld | 53 | 28 | 52.8 | 238 | 4.5 | 3 | 5.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 6 | 42 | 83.7 |
| Colt McCoy | 37 | 27 | 73.0 | 271 | 7.3 | 2 | 5.4 | 1 | 2.7 | 2 | 11 | 100.2 |
| Kirk Cousins | 28 | 17 | 60.7 | 227 | 8.1 | 3 | 10.7 | 1 | 3.6 | 1 | 10 | 107.3 |
| Note: Nate Sudfeld had three touchdown pass with no interceptions in the preseason, but Kirk Cousins is the entrenched starter in Washington and Colt McCoy has proven to be an excellent backup. | ||||||||||||
| Detroit Lions | ||||||||||||
| Name | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| Dan Orlovsky | 56 | 33 | 58.9 | 338 | 6.0 | 1 | 1.8 | 2 | 3.6 | 1 | 6 | 67.4 |
| Jake Rudock | 51 | 30 | 58.8 | 333 | 6.5 | 4 | 7.8 | 1 | 2.0 | 1 | 6 | 96.3 |
| Matthew Stafford | 40 | 26 | 65.0 | 266 | 6.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2.5 | 4 | 27 | 73.5 |
| Note: Jake Rudock is no threat to Matt Stafford, but Dan Orlovsky better beware. | ||||||||||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | ||||||||||||
| Name | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| Brandon Allen | 48 | 27 | 56.3 | 302 | 6.3 | 2 | 4.2 | 3 | 6.3 | 3 | 28 | 63.0 |
| Chad Henne | 37 | 19 | 51.4 | 202 | 5.5 | 1 | 2.7 | 2 | 5.4 | 2 | 10 | 54.1 |
| Blake Bortles | 34 | 24 | 70.6 | 242 | 7.1 | 2 | 5.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 6 | 110.2 |
| Max Wittek | 8 | 1 | 12.5 | 20 | 2.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Note: Brandon Allen has played at least as well as, and has possibly outplayed, Chad Henne. But the Jaguars are looking for a breakthrough season and if anything happens to rising star Blake Bortles, Henne is likely to get the first call. By next year, however, Henne may be gone with Allen first in line for the backup position. | ||||||||||||
| San Francisco 49ers | ||||||||||||
| Name | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| Jeff Driskel | 31 | 15 | 48.4 | 132 | 4.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 6.5 | 2 | 13 | 33.3 |
| Christian Ponder | 25 | 16 | 64.0 | 198 | 7.9 | 1 | 4.0 | 1 | 4.0 | 3 | 18 | 85.1 |
| Colin Kaepernick | 24 | 13 | 54.2 | 117 | 4.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 67.5 |
| Blaine Gabbert | 22 | 12 | 54.5 | 146 | 6.6 | 1 | 4.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 90.3 |
| Thad Lewis | 21 | 12 | 57.1 | 97 | 4.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 7 | 68.9 |
| Note: It is unfortunate that Jeff Driskel is a sixth round talent, and has played like one in the preseason, because the 49ers quarterback situation is so bad that it is making Blaine Gabbert and Christian Ponder look good. Driskel has the worst completion percentage and average yards per attempt of the five quarterbacks vying for the position, including Colin Kaepernick and Thad Lewis. | ||||||||||||
| Miami Dolphins | ||||||||||||
| Name | Att | C | Pct | Yds | Avg | TD | TD Pct | Int | Int Pct | Sacks | Yds Lost | QB Rating |
| Ryan Tannehill | 53 | 34 | 64.2 | 325 | 6.1 | 2 | 3.8 | 1 | 1.9 | 1 | 4 | 85.8 |
| Zac Dysert | 31 | 20 | 64.5 | 202 | 6.5 | 1 | 3.2 | 1 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 80.3 |
| Brandon Doughty | 28 | 20 | 71.4 | 185 | 6.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 5 | 38 | 89.1 |
| Matt Moore | 15 | 11 | 73.3 | 126 | 8.4 | 1 | 6.7 | 1 | 6.7 | 3 | 17 | 92.6 |
| Note: At this point, Brandon Doughty will not displace Ryan Tennehill or Matt Moore, but he is a challenge to Zac Dysert. Doughty could also stick if the Dolphins decide to move on from Moore as the primary backup. | ||||||||||||
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